Ukraine is now building an armored fist in times of drone warfare and a shooting that has become like human moles – have they completely misunderstood this or are we lagging behind, again?
Italy is the latest to donate equipment in secret.
And they are also getting more tanks, lost the link but I remember it was 20 T72s and maybe Australia’s M1 Abrams has arrived as well.
They were supposed to get new production this year so the conclusion can only be that everyone is keeping quiet now and no one is flaunting it except for the films we see from train transports 😀
You are now strategic geniuses after three years with these posts and understand that “out with the old and in with the new” still applies but now should be read as “out with the new by reusing the old” – it will be introduced in the war academy as a new proverb in max one year when the experts have recalibrated.
The big steamroller with new technology made mobile warfare impossible and today the shooters are buried in small earth mounds with an air hole to survive.
Both sides are pouring this over each other and in the front line there are now only thin screen shooters against thin screen infiltrating shooters.
The Russians attack with small groups of shooters and alternate with mechs where they believe in a breakthrough – so far they still hope for a breakthrough.
They advance because the shooters act as decoys and observation drones log targets, making the Chinese efficient kill-chain difficult for UA to handle.
UA solves this with task forces that are forced to fight openly to extinguish Russian grass fires.
Because no one believes that the Ukrainian task forces reach the combat area by digging underground like the Russians usually do, right?
They march on the road and fight openly but under their own EW, drone protection, and anti-drone protection.
Here is where all the experts are wrong again – that mobile warfare is obsolete.
Russia is holding back large mechanized units they intend to exploit breakthroughs with, but on the ground among the brigades there is no Chinese efficiency yet.
They have taken over the digital battlefield which now works as it should, but the ground battle the Russians want to conduct themselves, proud as they are – with expected results.
When they manage to sneak into a piece of potato field, they have crawled for several days through sewage pipes to be able to jump out behind the Ukrainian defense, but then they are identified by smell and knocked out immediately anyway – some draw parallels to the jack-in-the-box toy, which is not entirely wrong even if one might not joke about sewage-marinated Russians.
The digital battlefield is decentralized and consists of many small functions – but it can be overloaded.
Above all, it does not like movement and that is probably the easiest way to overload it since much of the capability is still against a fixed coordinate on the Russian side.
Yes, autonomous AI drones are being used to an increasing extent but not overwhelmingly much, yet…
Before the offensive, it is still about infiltrating reconnaissance and target acquisition in all channels, and then conducting pre-emptive strikes and trying to break through the defense and penetrate deeply.
Getting inside the enemy’s decision loop was called in the military.
The Russians are good at this now – the most terrifying thing one could encounter in the military was when the enemy was all around you and not just in front where the field of fire had been cleared.
You constantly try to have a defensive line and then when it is breached, retreat to the next and so on, but quite often the attacking party came inside your decision loop and then we still had radios, it was an exercise and you sat there with a bag of candy and half asleep.
Ukrainian shooters who sit for weeks half-starved and sleep with one eye open towards the drone weapon without radio – when there are Russians swarming around them, it’s probably quite difficult to handle. Not particularly envious.
Ukraine has shown that they can pool resources for an absolute advantage in capability on a front in both EW, anti-drone capability, and own drones.
The front lines have shifted and the Russians are no longer behind the Surovikin line.
Ukraine has helicopters and amphibious combat vessels in large numbers and they have received countless mine clearers.
And the ace up their sleeve – the capability for night combat, which I bet is high in UA and low in RU.
It may exist in the Chinese target acquisition chain, but when things start moving, it needs to reach the shooters without night vision equipment in the dark, forget it.
It feels like one of the aces in Zelensky’s sleeve, and he has a few, is to initiate mobile combat at depth on a front.
The Azov thrust they have probably come quite far in planning for now, especially since RU has weakened south of Khakovka near the Dnieper.
Mobile combat down there is amphibious combat along the entire coastline from Kinburn spit to Crimea under a drone umbrella.
Zelensky has already announced that they have 100 mechanized battalions and that’s quite a lot to draw from.
We can only guess how the turns will go, but we know that Ukraine is now doing as they please, that’s for sure.
The only thing we can probably say for certain is that if they face another summer of 2023, it could be fatal, the country probably can’t take much more.
Trying to pre-empt FSB and Rosgvardia bases and break through at the front to create panic and retreat?
Those things usually happen quickly once they start.
But everything is always relative, and RU is also holding back their entire mechanized park.
Russian losses since the turn of the year have been high.
And Ukraine has an 1:8 ratio of casualties to RU, as they have reported themselves.
It is crucial that Ukraine manages first with their asymmetric warfare and brings down the empire – before the empire succeeds in escalating to the next level.
With a bit of luck, RU will soon have to allocate forces towards the Caucasus and Kazakhstan – perhaps part of the plan?
Then Ukraine shoots down fewer missiles and drones, and RU has good target acquisition thanks to China – it stings for both parties.
Trying to understand what makes Ukraine so positive now, the guess is asymmetric warfare and peasant uprisings in the republics, but it also needs to get started.
The other thing is that we are soon involved in the war – there has been no shortage of warnings from Ukraine directly, and that would be good for them.
One of these two is it, or both – but could there be something more?
Ukraine has cut ties with China, Europe is dragging its feet, the USA has turned but will let a sluggish Europe help Ukraine.
They are seasoned now and set zero to hope, so it should be well-advanced plans from UA and RU that liven up and make them happy again 😀
By the way, there are increasing rumors that RU intends to carry out a mobilization and one can ponder a bit on why they want to do that.
Ukraine is now building an armored fist in times of drone warfare and a shooting that has become like human moles - have they completely misunderstood this or are we lagging behind, again?
Italy is the latest to donate equipment in secret.
And they are also getting more tanks, lost the link but I remember it was 20 T72s and maybe Australia's M1 Abrams has arrived as well.
They were supposed to get new production this year so the conclusion can only be that everyone is keeping quiet now and no one is flaunting it except for the films we see from train transports 😀
You are now strategic geniuses after three years with these posts and understand that "out with the old and in with the new" still applies but now should be read as "out with the new by reusing the old" - it will be introduced in the war academy as a new proverb in max one year when the experts have recalibrated.
The big steamroller with new technology made mobile warfare impossible and today the shooters are buried in small earth mounds with an air hole to survive.
Both sides are pouring this over each other and in the front line there are now only thin screen shooters against thin screen infiltrating shooters.
The Russians attack with small groups of shooters and alternate with mechs where they believe in a breakthrough - so far they still hope for a breakthrough.
They advance because the shooters act as decoys and observation drones log targets, making the Chinese efficient kill-chain difficult for UA to handle.
UA solves this with task forces that are forced to fight openly to extinguish Russian grass fires.
Because no one believes that the Ukrainian task forces reach the combat area by digging underground like the Russians usually do, right?
They march on the road and fight openly but under their own EW, drone protection, and anti-drone protection.
Here is where all the experts are wrong again - that mobile warfare is obsolete.
Russia is holding back large mechanized units they intend to exploit breakthroughs with, but on the ground among the brigades there is no Chinese efficiency yet.
They have taken over the digital battlefield which now works as it should, but the ground battle the Russians want to conduct themselves, proud as they are - with expected results.
When they manage to sneak into a piece of potato field, they have crawled for several days through sewage pipes to be able to jump out behind the Ukrainian defense, but then they are identified by smell and knocked out immediately anyway - some draw parallels to the jack-in-the-box toy, which is not entirely wrong even if one might not joke about sewage-marinated Russians.
The digital battlefield is decentralized and consists of many small functions - but it can be overloaded.
Above all, it does not like movement and that is probably the easiest way to overload it since much of the capability is still against a fixed coordinate on the Russian side.
Yes, autonomous AI drones are being used to an increasing extent but not overwhelmingly much, yet...
Before the offensive, it is still about infiltrating reconnaissance and target acquisition in all channels, and then conducting pre-emptive strikes and trying to break through the defense and penetrate deeply.
Getting inside the enemy's decision loop was called in the military.
The Russians are good at this now - the most terrifying thing one could encounter in the military was when the enemy was all around you and not just in front where the field of fire had been cleared.
You constantly try to have a defensive line and then when it is breached, retreat to the next and so on, but quite often the attacking party came inside your decision loop and then we still had radios, it was an exercise and you sat there with a bag of candy and half asleep.
Ukrainian shooters who sit for weeks half-starved and sleep with one eye open towards the drone weapon without radio - when there are Russians swarming around them, it's probably quite difficult to handle. Not particularly envious.
Ukraine has shown that they can pool resources for an absolute advantage in capability on a front in both EW, anti-drone capability, and own drones.
The front lines have shifted and the Russians are no longer behind the Surovikin line.
Ukraine has helicopters and amphibious combat vessels in large numbers and they have received countless mine clearers.
And the ace up their sleeve - the capability for night combat, which I bet is high in UA and low in RU.
It may exist in the Chinese target acquisition chain, but when things start moving, it needs to reach the shooters without night vision equipment in the dark, forget it.
It feels like one of the aces in Zelensky's sleeve, and he has a few, is to initiate mobile combat at depth on a front.
The Azov thrust they have probably come quite far in planning for now, especially since RU has weakened south of Khakovka near the Dnieper.
Mobile combat down there is amphibious combat along the entire coastline from Kinburn spit to Crimea under a drone umbrella.
Zelensky has already announced that they have 100 mechanized battalions and that's quite a lot to draw from.
We can only guess how the turns will go, but we know that Ukraine is now doing as they please, that's for sure.
The only thing we can probably say for certain is that if they face another summer of 2023, it could be fatal, the country probably can't take much more.
Trying to pre-empt FSB and Rosgvardia bases and break through at the front to create panic and retreat?
Those things usually happen quickly once they start.
But everything is always relative, and RU is also holding back their entire mechanized park.
Russian losses since the turn of the year have been high.
And Ukraine has an 1:8 ratio of casualties to RU, as they have reported themselves.
It is crucial that Ukraine manages first with their asymmetric warfare and brings down the empire - before the empire succeeds in escalating to the next level.
With a bit of luck, RU will soon have to allocate forces towards the Caucasus and Kazakhstan - perhaps part of the plan?
Then Ukraine shoots down fewer missiles and drones, and RU has good target acquisition thanks to China - it stings for both parties.
Trying to understand what makes Ukraine so positive now, the guess is asymmetric warfare and peasant uprisings in the republics, but it also needs to get started.
The other thing is that we are soon involved in the war - there has been no shortage of warnings from Ukraine directly, and that would be good for them.
One of these two is it, or both - but could there be something more?
Ukraine has cut ties with China, Europe is dragging its feet, the USA has turned but will let a sluggish Europe help Ukraine.
They are seasoned now and set zero to hope, so it should be well-advanced plans from UA and RU that liven up and make them happy again 😀
By the way, there are increasing rumors that RU intends to carry out a mobilization and one can ponder a bit on why they want to do that.
