My old schoolmate Noel has a better summary. Here comes his Bluesky link but I don’t get the whole thread like on Twitter but go in and check for yourself because he has a whole battery of tweets on the subject mauling Russians in Kursk (if nothing else, Erik14 will be happy now that I didn’t post a Twitter link).
Ukraine is currently conducting an offensive in Kursk for a few days, a first attempt a little earlier didn’t go well and we still have the offensive behind Sejm fresh in memory which crashed half of the Kursk adventure already in the beginning but now in the eastern part they have started to advance and the vanguard is said to have reached Ulanok.
At least in one attack vector, it’s battalion mechanized infantry, fully mechanized and not with old trucks and scooters like the Russians are using, nor the latest from the Russians – cavalry.
The number of attack vectors is a bit unclear but at least 3, maybe more.
They are taking advantage of a period of cloudy weather so the Russian sh1t drones cannot operate and it’s -2 during the day and -8 at night so not inhuman temperatures for UA.
But for RU, now forced to move units, the weather is not good at all – out of barracks and prepare defense systems and out on the road and take position in areas completely without heat sources. Then they can’t really start fires because the drones will be there in minutes regardless of the weather since they are light years better than the Russian junk.
Welcome frozen Russian 👍
If we look at Ulanok, RU has at least 7 better brigades in the area which is more than they should need for defense and Rumint says they must bring in reserves in full violent panic and that lines have now been broken through.
Rumint says that 11th AAB is defending so it matches well with the unit maps.
So RU has 7 brigades around the town of Ulanok and UA is advancing with a battalion attack and there is panic in the Russian command?
A bit early but possibly it tells us that RU units in the area are in poor condition and UA is now testing a bit?
In the other situation picture, you see the terrain and it should be easily defensible, should be mined and three (3) brigades are around the small town of Ulanok.
There is a Spetsnaz brigade and an armored brigade as a task force.
If we know Ukraine well, they fight the task forces when they are on the road and rolling towards the breakthrough and they should absolutely have done that this time too regardless of the weather even if RU can move in the terrain and are not dependent on roads.
Furthermore, it is also an advantage for UA because they can attack through the entire terrain, waterways like marshland and are not dependent on roads.
RU has probably placed their minefields in above-zero temperatures and considered waterways and marshland as natural obstacles left unmined and then UA waited for a period of longer cold to be able to exploit full mobility.
UA has also shown the ability to clear minefields earlier in Kursk so they now fully master that technique.
Some different views on the North Koreans but they seem to have been partially withdrawn at least.
And above all – and WHO said it from the BEGINNING… it was the North Korean SOF who fought in Kursk among others.
They had 1500 SOF and then 11th AC which are their better/best stormtroopers.
I have to admit that they fought worse than I feared but if you read the link, it’s probably more like Ukraine fighting at wizard level and everything is always relative.
Here is almost a description of how to herd sheep.
https://twitter.com/revishvilig/status/1887116076049149967?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
Then there is the second attack vector in the western part of Kursk – or that’s wrong, it’s the third I think because there are two attack vectors to the east if I interpret this correctly, and the second attack vector is south of Ulanok.
In the west, the attack vector should be towards Kruglenkove and it’s straight into VDV land and it’s absolutely fertilized with VDV brigades in the area, Ukrainians lack no courage 😲
Now remains to see what happens with the FAB droppers but they are not as adaptable as they could be and it will not be easy for them to hit a moving Ukrainian battalion attack.
It will be very exciting to see what comes of this and how weakened RU units in the area are.
They should not have easily accessible strategic reserves and if they need to move unprepared units from Ukraine, there is a window of about a week before they are in place.
We will soon see if UA has higher ambitions because then new attack vectors will pop up like mushrooms and above all, they will also strike elsewhere because it’s very Ukrainian.
Or, I’m ringing the gong now that Ukraine has launched an offensive.
Unbelievable – so they are doing this with existing units and not a well-prepared, equipped, and rested large strategic reserve. Yes, there are some brigades in the strategic reserve but when RU conducts their offensives, they have prepared several AC for the honor to die in a potato field in eastern Ukraine and use them up, rinse and repeat.
I have previously confirmed in a few
Anyway, Ukraine has hidden this offensive extremely well and played negotiations and the whole soft part very skillfully – quite sure that not many leaders in the West expected a violent Ukrainian offensive right into Russia’s soft Moomin Valley.
Now, of course, I missed discussing the losses the day before yesterday, but RU has over a million (not including non-combat-related injuries and accidents, in winter 2023, 30% of all hospitalizations in Luhansk were frostbite injuries, for example). But now the Russians somewhat offset this by having crutch battalions with severely ill soldiers storming across the fields.
UA losses are 45,000 dead, which is in line with what we have previously heard, and 390,000 wounded, but that includes everything, and as previously stated, 80% of the wounded have been able to return to service.
But it clearly shows what a high-intensity war this is.
Are RU losses also in line with ratios from previous wars, or what?
Above all, it shows what joke figures the West likes to throw around when it comes to RU losses – who do you think has the best insight?
Apparently, UA has now relocated 50,000 troops from the shaft to the tip. Already in the spring of 2024, it was reported that 200-300,000 had been moved to maneuver brigades.
Didn’t that happen then, or is this round two?
Since a place in combat units has so far meant disability or death, it is not very difficult to understand that many are trying to find positions in non-combat units, and the positions have probably grown exponentially because bribes are being paid.
You can’t judge in this case, with what right can we assume that they should go and die?
However, the West should have done much more here – there should have been voluntary recruitment as a status activity in the EU with guaranteed veteran pensions from the home country and salaries paid from the home country (via aid packages) and let UA recruit heavily in the West.
A motivated volunteer is worth infinitely more than one who has been forced into their position, and obviously, Ukraine is now running out of volunteers.
But then the shifts we are starting to see now will probably breathe new life into this, and with a bit of luck, there will be a rush to the recruitment offices to get a chance to kill a Russian before it’s over.
With the Russians, it’s the opposite, EVERYONE is running and signing contracts now to get their signing bonus before the war ends – no one expects to have to fight 🤣🤣🤣
Ukraine has finally begun its reorganization into army corps, and they seem to be thinking right – both Azov and the 3rd Assault Brigade will be the backbone of two of the army corps.
A total of 20 corps, and one would guess they will take experienced and capable brigade commanders to become corps commanders?
The advantage is that they can include, for example, territorials and National Guard with less experience under an umbrella of elite units that can train them over time.
Just as the Marine Corps did with the two Territorial Brigades over by the Dnieper, which are now officially part of the Marine Corps – not bad for a home guard 😀✊
According to previous posts – give a corps responsibility for a front section and ensure that the corps have corps resources and redundancy. Then you get an effective defense.
Having brigades and then a Chief of Staff who lifts out individual battalions and micro-management paired with no management at all – not so neat but probably a symptom of too rapid growth and the USA standing as the overcoat for too long.
It’s hard to see how RU can sustain this for many more months actually – the damage in just January has been devastating, and there are 11 months left in the year.
Now we have horse shooting or as it is also called, cavalry.
https://twitter.com/m0nstas/status/1887101720381006064?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
At the same time, Ukraine is equipping advanced weapon stations on all the old Eastern tanks so they become model 2025.
And the first deliveries of newly manufactured IFVs from the West have arrived and will arrive this year.
It’s easy to forget Africa, but it’s violent there too. I haven’t found a connection yet, but I’m pretty sure Russia has something to do with M23 because their offensive straight into Congo is quite unexpected.
Then they threaten to attack Angola as well, which is completely bonkers, so I strongly suspect a Russian puppet master in the background.
I also have to remind you of the legendary and world-leading Friday binge that will be held on johanno1.se and will be as intense as a New Year’s fireworks display in Dubai.
There will be hysterically funny dog videos as usual that will push you off your chair – don’t miss it at your own risk because the afterparty will be like a Lord of the Rings movie.
It starts around 5:00 – 6:00 PM and of course, there is limited space, so be quick to get in through the door 👍
If Budanov tries to terrorize me there as he did on Cornu the other day when I was trying to spread some joy in all peace, I have the block button ready 😐
As usual, if you liked the post – feel free to share it in your channels.
Update
Now in times of joyful violent offensive, never forget the shooters behind the offensive – they have been fighting for several years, are dead tired, underequipped, and low on ammunition but they scrape together what they can and do the impossible every day. Hats off to their completely improbable effort every day.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1886864868093124902
Now I’m a day late due to the job monster but here comes a summary of UA’s violent world-leading offensive straight into Kursk that has caught the Russians completely off guard and the road to Moscow is wide open (some risk that I went a bit off track there..). Have posted some about this on Bluesky but now at least the post is coming with some deeper clinical lab tests that form the basis of the analysis.
Also want to flag that Trump’s peace plan may be a betrayal because it seems to include frozen fronts as the rumors suggest – then RU has managed to outmaneuver the West and we must pray to the gods.
But… Kellogg flatly denies it so the question is what to believe right now
The Fronts –
It’s all Rumint but it’s reported by several OSINTers and they base it on Russian sources so I choose to go with this.
My old schoolmate Noel has a better summary. Here comes his Bluesky link but I don’t get the whole thread like on Twitter but go in and check for yourself because he has a whole battery of tweets on the subject mauling Russians in Kursk (if nothing else, Erik14 will be happy now that I didn’t post a Twitter link).
Ukraine is currently conducting an offensive in Kursk for a few days, a first attempt a little earlier didn’t go well and we still have the offensive behind Sejm fresh in memory which crashed half of the Kursk adventure already in the beginning but now in the eastern part they have started to advance and the vanguard is said to have reached Ulanok.
At least in one attack vector, it’s battalion mechanized infantry, fully mechanized and not with old trucks and scooters like the Russians are using, nor the latest from the Russians – cavalry.
The number of attack vectors is a bit unclear but at least 3, maybe more.
They are taking advantage of a period of cloudy weather so the Russian sh1t drones cannot operate and it’s -2 during the day and -8 at night so not inhuman temperatures for UA.
But for RU, now forced to move units, the weather is not good at all – out of barracks and prepare defense systems and out on the road and take position in areas completely without heat sources. Then they can’t really start fires because the drones will be there in minutes regardless of the weather since they are light years better than the Russian junk.
Welcome frozen Russian 👍
If we look at Ulanok, RU has at least 7 better brigades in the area which is more than they should need for defense and Rumint says they must bring in reserves in full violent panic and that lines have now been broken through.
Rumint says that 11th AAB is defending so it matches well with the unit maps.
So RU has 7 brigades around the town of Ulanok and UA is advancing with a battalion attack and there is panic in the Russian command?
A bit early but possibly it tells us that RU units in the area are in poor condition and UA is now testing a bit?
In the other situation picture, you see the terrain and it should be easily defensible, should be mined and three (3) brigades are around the small town of Ulanok.
There is a Spetsnaz brigade and an armored brigade as a task force.
If we know Ukraine well, they fight the task forces when they are on the road and rolling towards the breakthrough and they should absolutely have done that this time too regardless of the weather even if RU can move in the terrain and are not dependent on roads.
Furthermore, it is also an advantage for UA because they can attack through the entire terrain, waterways like marshland and are not dependent on roads.
RU has probably placed their minefields in above-zero temperatures and considered waterways and marshland as natural obstacles left unmined and then UA waited for a period of longer cold to be able to exploit full mobility.
UA has also shown the ability to clear minefields earlier in Kursk so they now fully master that technique.
Some different views on the North Koreans but they seem to have been partially withdrawn at least.
And above all – and WHO said it from the BEGINNING… it was the North Korean SOF who fought in Kursk among others.
They had 1500 SOF and then 11th AC which are their better/best stormtroopers.
I have to admit that they fought worse than I feared but if you read the link, it’s probably more like Ukraine fighting at wizard level and everything is always relative.
Here is almost a description of how to herd sheep.
https://twitter.com/revishvilig/status/1887116076049149967?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
Then there is the second attack vector in the western part of Kursk – or that’s wrong, it’s the third I think because there are two attack vectors to the east if I interpret this correctly, and the second attack vector is south of Ulanok.
In the west, the attack vector should be towards Kruglenkove and it’s straight into VDV land and it’s absolutely fertilized with VDV brigades in the area, Ukrainians lack no courage 😲
Now remains to see what happens with the FAB droppers but they are not as adaptable as they could be and it will not be easy for them to hit a moving Ukrainian battalion attack.
It will be very exciting to see what comes of this and how weakened RU units in the area are.
They should not have easily accessible strategic reserves and if they need to move unprepared units from Ukraine, there is a window of about a week before they are in place.
We will soon see if UA has higher ambitions because then new attack vectors will pop up like mushrooms and above all, they will also strike elsewhere because it’s very Ukrainian.
Or, I’m ringing the gong now that Ukraine has launched an offensive.
Unbelievable – so they are doing this with existing units and not a well-prepared, equipped, and rested large strategic reserve. Yes, there are some brigades in the strategic reserve but when RU conducts their offensives, they have prepared several AC for the honor to die in a potato field in eastern Ukraine and use them up, rinse and repeat.
I have previously confirmed in a few
Anyway, Ukraine has hidden this offensive extremely well and played negotiations and the whole soft part very skillfully – quite sure that not many leaders in the West expected a violent Ukrainian offensive right into Russia’s soft Moomin Valley.
Now, of course, I missed discussing the losses the day before yesterday, but RU has over a million (not including non-combat-related injuries and accidents, in winter 2023, 30% of all hospitalizations in Luhansk were frostbite injuries, for example). But now the Russians somewhat offset this by having crutch battalions with severely ill soldiers storming across the fields.
UA losses are 45,000 dead, which is in line with what we have previously heard, and 390,000 wounded, but that includes everything, and as previously stated, 80% of the wounded have been able to return to service.
But it clearly shows what a high-intensity war this is.
Are RU losses also in line with ratios from previous wars, or what?
Above all, it shows what joke figures the West likes to throw around when it comes to RU losses – who do you think has the best insight?
Apparently, UA has now relocated 50,000 troops from the shaft to the tip. Already in the spring of 2024, it was reported that 200-300,000 had been moved to maneuver brigades.
Didn’t that happen then, or is this round two?
Since a place in combat units has so far meant disability or death, it is not very difficult to understand that many are trying to find positions in non-combat units, and the positions have probably grown exponentially because bribes are being paid.
You can’t judge in this case, with what right can we assume that they should go and die?
However, the West should have done much more here – there should have been voluntary recruitment as a status activity in the EU with guaranteed veteran pensions from the home country and salaries paid from the home country (via aid packages) and let UA recruit heavily in the West.
A motivated volunteer is worth infinitely more than one who has been forced into their position, and obviously, Ukraine is now running out of volunteers.
But then the shifts we are starting to see now will probably breathe new life into this, and with a bit of luck, there will be a rush to the recruitment offices to get a chance to kill a Russian before it’s over.
With the Russians, it’s the opposite, EVERYONE is running and signing contracts now to get their signing bonus before the war ends – no one expects to have to fight 🤣🤣🤣
Ukraine has finally begun its reorganization into army corps, and they seem to be thinking right – both Azov and the 3rd Assault Brigade will be the backbone of two of the army corps.
A total of 20 corps, and one would guess they will take experienced and capable brigade commanders to become corps commanders?
The advantage is that they can include, for example, territorials and National Guard with less experience under an umbrella of elite units that can train them over time.
Just as the Marine Corps did with the two Territorial Brigades over by the Dnieper, which are now officially part of the Marine Corps – not bad for a home guard 😀✊
According to previous posts – give a corps responsibility for a front section and ensure that the corps have corps resources and redundancy. Then you get an effective defense.
Having brigades and then a Chief of Staff who lifts out individual battalions and micro-management paired with no management at all – not so neat but probably a symptom of too rapid growth and the USA standing as the overcoat for too long.
It’s hard to see how RU can sustain this for many more months actually – the damage in just January has been devastating, and there are 11 months left in the year.
Now we have horse shooting or as it is also called, cavalry.
https://twitter.com/m0nstas/status/1887101720381006064?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
At the same time, Ukraine is equipping advanced weapon stations on all the old Eastern tanks so they become model 2025.
And the first deliveries of newly manufactured IFVs from the West have arrived and will arrive this year.
It’s easy to forget Africa, but it’s violent there too. I haven’t found a connection yet, but I’m pretty sure Russia has something to do with M23 because their offensive straight into Congo is quite unexpected.
Then they threaten to attack Angola as well, which is completely bonkers, so I strongly suspect a Russian puppet master in the background.
I also have to remind you of the legendary and world-leading Friday binge that will be held on johanno1.se and will be as intense as a New Year’s fireworks display in Dubai.
There will be hysterically funny dog videos as usual that will push you off your chair – don’t miss it at your own risk because the afterparty will be like a Lord of the Rings movie.
It starts around 5:00 – 6:00 PM and of course, there is limited space, so be quick to get in through the door 👍
If Budanov tries to terrorize me there as he did on Cornu the other day when I was trying to spread some joy in all peace, I have the block button ready 😐
As usual, if you liked the post – feel free to share it in your channels.
Update
Now in times of joyful violent offensive, never forget the shooters behind the offensive - they have been fighting for several years, are dead tired, underequipped, and low on ammunition but they scrape together what they can and do the impossible every day. Hats off to their completely improbable effort every day.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1886864868093124902
Now I'm a day late due to the job monster but here comes a summary of UA's violent world-leading offensive straight into Kursk that has caught the Russians completely off guard and the road to Moscow is wide open (some risk that I went a bit off track there..). Have posted some about this on Bluesky but now at least the post is coming with some deeper clinical lab tests that form the basis of the analysis.
Also want to flag that Trump's peace plan may be a betrayal because it seems to include frozen fronts as the rumors suggest - then RU has managed to outmaneuver the West and we must pray to the gods.
But... Kellogg flatly denies it so the question is what to believe right now
The Fronts -
It's all Rumint but it's reported by several OSINTers and they base it on Russian sources so I choose to go with this.
Unbelievable - so they are doing this with existing units and not a well-prepared, equipped, and rested large strategic reserve. Yes, there are some brigades in the strategic reserve but when RU conducts their offensives, they have prepared several AC for the honor to die in a potato field in eastern Ukraine and use them up, rinse and repeat.
I have previously confirmed in a few
Anyway, Ukraine has hidden this offensive extremely well and played negotiations and the whole soft part very skillfully - quite sure that not many leaders in the West expected a violent Ukrainian offensive right into Russia's soft Moomin Valley.
Now, of course, I missed discussing the losses the day before yesterday, but RU has over a million (not including non-combat-related injuries and accidents, in winter 2023, 30% of all hospitalizations in Luhansk were frostbite injuries, for example). But now the Russians somewhat offset this by having crutch battalions with severely ill soldiers storming across the fields.
UA losses are 45,000 dead, which is in line with what we have previously heard, and 390,000 wounded, but that includes everything, and as previously stated, 80% of the wounded have been able to return to service.
But it clearly shows what a high-intensity war this is.
Are RU losses also in line with ratios from previous wars, or what?
Above all, it shows what joke figures the West likes to throw around when it comes to RU losses - who do you think has the best insight?
Apparently, UA has now relocated 50,000 troops from the shaft to the tip. Already in the spring of 2024, it was reported that 200-300,000 had been moved to maneuver brigades.
Didn't that happen then, or is this round two?
Since a place in combat units has so far meant disability or death, it is not very difficult to understand that many are trying to find positions in non-combat units, and the positions have probably grown exponentially because bribes are being paid.
You can't judge in this case, with what right can we assume that they should go and die?
However, the West should have done much more here - there should have been voluntary recruitment as a status activity in the EU with guaranteed veteran pensions from the home country and salaries paid from the home country (via aid packages) and let UA recruit heavily in the West.
A motivated volunteer is worth infinitely more than one who has been forced into their position, and obviously, Ukraine is now running out of volunteers.
But then the shifts we are starting to see now will probably breathe new life into this, and with a bit of luck, there will be a rush to the recruitment offices to get a chance to kill a Russian before it's over.
With the Russians, it's the opposite, EVERYONE is running and signing contracts now to get their signing bonus before the war ends - no one expects to have to fight 🤣🤣🤣
Ukraine has finally begun its reorganization into army corps, and they seem to be thinking right - both Azov and the 3rd Assault Brigade will be the backbone of two of the army corps.
A total of 20 corps, and one would guess they will take experienced and capable brigade commanders to become corps commanders?
The advantage is that they can include, for example, territorials and National Guard with less experience under an umbrella of elite units that can train them over time.
Just as the Marine Corps did with the two Territorial Brigades over by the Dnieper, which are now officially part of the Marine Corps - not bad for a home guard 😀✊
According to previous posts - give a corps responsibility for a front section and ensure that the corps have corps resources and redundancy. Then you get an effective defense.
Having brigades and then a Chief of Staff who lifts out individual battalions and micro-management paired with no management at all - not so neat but probably a symptom of too rapid growth and the USA standing as the overcoat for too long.
It's hard to see how RU can sustain this for many more months actually - the damage in just January has been devastating, and there are 11 months left in the year.
Now we have horse shooting or as it is also called, cavalry.
https://twitter.com/m0nstas/status/1887101720381006064?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
At the same time, Ukraine is equipping advanced weapon stations on all the old Eastern tanks so they become model 2025.
And the first deliveries of newly manufactured IFVs from the West have arrived and will arrive this year.
It's easy to forget Africa, but it's violent there too. I haven't found a connection yet, but I'm pretty sure Russia has something to do with M23 because their offensive straight into Congo is quite unexpected.
Then they threaten to attack Angola as well, which is completely bonkers, so I strongly suspect a Russian puppet master in the background.
I also have to remind you of the legendary and world-leading Friday binge that will be held on johanno1.se and will be as intense as a New Year's fireworks display in Dubai.
There will be hysterically funny dog videos as usual that will push you off your chair - don't miss it at your own risk because the afterparty will be like a Lord of the Rings movie.
It starts around 5:00 - 6:00 PM and of course, there is limited space, so be quick to get in through the door 👍
If Budanov tries to terrorize me there as he did on Cornu the other day when I was trying to spread some joy in all peace, I have the block button ready 😐
As usual, if you liked the post - feel free to share it in your channels.
My old schoolmate Noel has a better summary. Here comes his Bluesky link but I don't get the whole thread like on Twitter but go in and check for yourself because he has a whole battery of tweets on the subject mauling Russians in Kursk (if nothing else, Erik14 will be happy now that I didn't post a Twitter link).
Ukraine is currently conducting an offensive in Kursk for a few days, a first attempt a little earlier didn't go well and we still have the offensive behind Sejm fresh in memory which crashed half of the Kursk adventure already in the beginning but now in the eastern part they have started to advance and the vanguard is said to have reached Ulanok.
At least in one attack vector, it's battalion mechanized infantry, fully mechanized and not with old trucks and scooters like the Russians are using, nor the latest from the Russians - cavalry.
The number of attack vectors is a bit unclear but at least 3, maybe more.
They are taking advantage of a period of cloudy weather so the Russian sh1t drones cannot operate and it's -2 during the day and -8 at night so not inhuman temperatures for UA.
But for RU, now forced to move units, the weather is not good at all - out of barracks and prepare defense systems and out on the road and take position in areas completely without heat sources. Then they can't really start fires because the drones will be there in minutes regardless of the weather since they are light years better than the Russian junk.
Welcome frozen Russian 👍
If we look at Ulanok, RU has at least 7 better brigades in the area which is more than they should need for defense and Rumint says they must bring in reserves in full violent panic and that lines have now been broken through.
Rumint says that 11th AAB is defending so it matches well with the unit maps.
So RU has 7 brigades around the town of Ulanok and UA is advancing with a battalion attack and there is panic in the Russian command?
A bit early but possibly it tells us that RU units in the area are in poor condition and UA is now testing a bit?
In the other situation picture, you see the terrain and it should be easily defensible, should be mined and three (3) brigades are around the small town of Ulanok.
There is a Spetsnaz brigade and an armored brigade as a task force.
If we know Ukraine well, they fight the task forces when they are on the road and rolling towards the breakthrough and they should absolutely have done that this time too regardless of the weather even if RU can move in the terrain and are not dependent on roads.
Furthermore, it is also an advantage for UA because they can attack through the entire terrain, waterways like marshland and are not dependent on roads.
RU has probably placed their minefields in above-zero temperatures and considered waterways and marshland as natural obstacles left unmined and then UA waited for a period of longer cold to be able to exploit full mobility.
UA has also shown the ability to clear minefields earlier in Kursk so they now fully master that technique.
Some different views on the North Koreans but they seem to have been partially withdrawn at least.
And above all - and WHO said it from the BEGINNING... it was the North Korean SOF who fought in Kursk among others.
They had 1500 SOF and then 11th AC which are their better/best stormtroopers.
I have to admit that they fought worse than I feared but if you read the link, it's probably more like Ukraine fighting at wizard level and everything is always relative.
Here is almost a description of how to herd sheep.
https://twitter.com/revishvilig/status/1887116076049149967?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
Then there is the second attack vector in the western part of Kursk - or that's wrong, it's the third I think because there are two attack vectors to the east if I interpret this correctly, and the second attack vector is south of Ulanok.
In the west, the attack vector should be towards Kruglenkove and it's straight into VDV land and it's absolutely fertilized with VDV brigades in the area, Ukrainians lack no courage 😲
Now remains to see what happens with the FAB droppers but they are not as adaptable as they could be and it will not be easy for them to hit a moving Ukrainian battalion attack.
It will be very exciting to see what comes of this and how weakened RU units in the area are.
They should not have easily accessible strategic reserves and if they need to move unprepared units from Ukraine, there is a window of about a week before they are in place.
We will soon see if UA has higher ambitions because then new attack vectors will pop up like mushrooms and above all, they will also strike elsewhere because it's very Ukrainian.
Or, I'm ringing the gong now that Ukraine has launched an offensive.
Unbelievable - so they are doing this with existing units and not a well-prepared, equipped, and rested large strategic reserve. Yes, there are some brigades in the strategic reserve but when RU conducts their offensives, they have prepared several AC for the honor to die in a potato field in eastern Ukraine and use them up, rinse and repeat.
I have previously confirmed in a few
Anyway, Ukraine has hidden this offensive extremely well and played negotiations and the whole soft part very skillfully - quite sure that not many leaders in the West expected a violent Ukrainian offensive right into Russia's soft Moomin Valley.
Now, of course, I missed discussing the losses the day before yesterday, but RU has over a million (not including non-combat-related injuries and accidents, in winter 2023, 30% of all hospitalizations in Luhansk were frostbite injuries, for example). But now the Russians somewhat offset this by having crutch battalions with severely ill soldiers storming across the fields.
UA losses are 45,000 dead, which is in line with what we have previously heard, and 390,000 wounded, but that includes everything, and as previously stated, 80% of the wounded have been able to return to service.
But it clearly shows what a high-intensity war this is.
Are RU losses also in line with ratios from previous wars, or what?
Above all, it shows what joke figures the West likes to throw around when it comes to RU losses - who do you think has the best insight?
Apparently, UA has now relocated 50,000 troops from the shaft to the tip. Already in the spring of 2024, it was reported that 200-300,000 had been moved to maneuver brigades.
Didn't that happen then, or is this round two?
Since a place in combat units has so far meant disability or death, it is not very difficult to understand that many are trying to find positions in non-combat units, and the positions have probably grown exponentially because bribes are being paid.
You can't judge in this case, with what right can we assume that they should go and die?
However, the West should have done much more here - there should have been voluntary recruitment as a status activity in the EU with guaranteed veteran pensions from the home country and salaries paid from the home country (via aid packages) and let UA recruit heavily in the West.
A motivated volunteer is worth infinitely more than one who has been forced into their position, and obviously, Ukraine is now running out of volunteers.
But then the shifts we are starting to see now will probably breathe new life into this, and with a bit of luck, there will be a rush to the recruitment offices to get a chance to kill a Russian before it's over.
With the Russians, it's the opposite, EVERYONE is running and signing contracts now to get their signing bonus before the war ends - no one expects to have to fight 🤣🤣🤣
Ukraine has finally begun its reorganization into army corps, and they seem to be thinking right - both Azov and the 3rd Assault Brigade will be the backbone of two of the army corps.
A total of 20 corps, and one would guess they will take experienced and capable brigade commanders to become corps commanders?
The advantage is that they can include, for example, territorials and National Guard with less experience under an umbrella of elite units that can train them over time.
Just as the Marine Corps did with the two Territorial Brigades over by the Dnieper, which are now officially part of the Marine Corps - not bad for a home guard 😀✊
According to previous posts - give a corps responsibility for a front section and ensure that the corps have corps resources and redundancy. Then you get an effective defense.
Having brigades and then a Chief of Staff who lifts out individual battalions and micro-management paired with no management at all - not so neat but probably a symptom of too rapid growth and the USA standing as the overcoat for too long.
It's hard to see how RU can sustain this for many more months actually - the damage in just January has been devastating, and there are 11 months left in the year.
Now we have horse shooting or as it is also called, cavalry.
https://twitter.com/m0nstas/status/1887101720381006064?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
At the same time, Ukraine is equipping advanced weapon stations on all the old Eastern tanks so they become model 2025.
And the first deliveries of newly manufactured IFVs from the West have arrived and will arrive this year.
It's easy to forget Africa, but it's violent there too. I haven't found a connection yet, but I'm pretty sure Russia has something to do with M23 because their offensive straight into Congo is quite unexpected.
Then they threaten to attack Angola as well, which is completely bonkers, so I strongly suspect a Russian puppet master in the background.
I also have to remind you of the legendary and world-leading Friday binge that will be held on johanno1.se and will be as intense as a New Year's fireworks display in Dubai.
There will be hysterically funny dog videos as usual that will push you off your chair - don't miss it at your own risk because the afterparty will be like a Lord of the Rings movie.
It starts around 5:00 - 6:00 PM and of course, there is limited space, so be quick to get in through the door 👍
If Budanov tries to terrorize me there as he did on Cornu the other day when I was trying to spread some joy in all peace, I have the block button ready 😐
As usual, if you liked the post - feel free to share it in your channels.
Buenas Dias – a little late since I still haven’t learned how to post 😐