Lionesses
Today we are discussing China again but want to highlight that Ukraine is now quietly receiving a lot of heavy vehicles, both tanks, armored vehicles, and infantry fighting vehicles from the West.
We will return with a separate post, but how do you break through the numbing drone cover – through mobile mechanized warfare, of course.
It is my opinion that China was cautious about the Ukraine war for a long time, but on May 9, 2025, they chose to wholeheartedly support Russia and now in the summer of 2025, they also fired an economic torpedo at the USA in the form of a “swift-killer.”
It started earlier than that, of course, but if Russia had gone and lost the war during, for example, the UA spring offensive in 2023, then China would probably have backed off.
China is not foolish and knows that the risk of expanded war exists, they also know that their production for Europe and the USA is in jeopardy, and that the West will first fire an economic weapon followed by interstate war.
They are also intimately familiar with Japan in the 90s.
Do not underestimate China will probably be the first words of wisdom for the day, I have been working with them since 2006 and seen them go from stiff party officials with translators, political commissars, and “stone and spade” technology on naval projects to now in 2025 winning the tender in the Caribbean both on price and technical solution against an American, French, and South American company (the latter was the favorite as they bribed heavily).
The political commissar was easy to find because he never said anything, everyone bowed to him, and when you entered his office, it was full of Muay Tai (rice wine) and Chinese candy everywhere because everyone showered him with gifts so they wouldn’t get fired.
China is patient and works purposefully, so they have a solution for everything we can come up with until the USA goes into full war with them.
That doesn’t mean they will win, Russia thought they would be having dinner in Kiev a week after the offensive started – they had booked all the tables at the restaurants and brought their dress uniforms.
“when the first shot is fired, the war takes on a life of its own” some tearful German general probably said at some point and waved his arms, but he was right anyway.
But by now, everyone probably understands that China will be a much tougher nut to crack than Russia, and that they also need to be dealt with – they are already a belligerent party in the Ukraine war.
We will develop the reasoning below, and now that Macron subscribes, the French headquarters finally have a sensible basis for making their decisions.
Nelson Mandela is also present, but mostly for the Friday binges at johanno1.se, he’s a devil at chugging draft beer and rarely gets drunk.
The text continues below for subscribers.
Yesterday we posted that China has delivered advanced drone radar, we know that they have built the production lines for Gerandrones and have reason to guess that they provide AI front-line autonomous drones or so-called “loitering ammunition” at the fronts.
We also know that they have improved robot manufacturing, and here we can also suspect that tanks, armored vehicles, and armored personnel carriers are now being produced more efficiently and in significantly larger volumes thanks to China’s healing hand.
It is also likely that they have assisted in ammunition production.
We must not forget that China is now providing target acquisition from satellites, which was also posted the other day.
We also read the other day that North Korea accounts for about 50% of the Russian ammunition now being used in the Ukraine war, and nothing is done without China’s tacit approval when it comes to North Korea – they are a bit like our Skåne, a necessary evil.
But it’s worse than that – China has itself sent 24,000 tons of war material directly to Russia by sea, air, or land.
We have also seen “battlefield lasers” being tested by a Russian unit, and we have previously speculated that high-value targets inside Russia will soon receive qualified LV protection if they haven’t already.
Furthermore, China also buys Russian oil and LNG, so it is not wrong to say that without China, Russia would have already lost the war.
Where is the limit for Europe and the USA to say enough is enough?
Europe – probably never.
USA – they have already had enough.
We already know that China is involved in the shadows in the sabotage wave against Europe, 8 Chinese were arrested in Norway, and I bet a month’s salary that the major shutdown of solar panels on the Iberian Peninsula had to do with China.
In the USA, before the border was closed, short-haired Chinese men were seen in groups of four entering the USA – we can assume they are sabotage groups.
Just as Russia buys land, houses, and churches near our protected sites, China does the same in the USA.
On D-Day, China and Russia will fire manpads from these properties at taking off aircraft or release drone clouds towards whatever they are living near.
Europe should make the connection that we are now preparing for war with Russia, but it is China that is preparing Russia for war with us.
If China were to fall, Russia would be like a dried oily cheese slice in a matter of months.
Conversely, if Russia falls, China will probably not dare to escalate globally further – I guess.
Russia can only do two things – increase pressure on Europe and old places, or implode and become ten new free and beautiful countries.
China has a colorful palette of solutions, and if we make a mistake, we will probably create a 1.5 billion monster.
First of all, China may try to take over Taiwan, and if they succeed, they will have taken the springboard for further expansion in Southeast Asia.
China can also let North Korea attack South Korea, but since North Korea is the weaker party, China and Russia will probably have to provide a lot of new capabilities. South Korea is currently preparing for war, just like we are in Europe.
If Taiwan falls, there will be 5 years of war in Southeast Asia before China gets tired.
They are otherwise landlocked, but when the opportunity arises, they will try to reclaim their areas in Russia that they lost in the 1800s.
That is a much bigger deal in China than we may have understood, posts about reclaiming areas get millions of shares – a very low-hanging fruit.
Already today, border areas are flooded with Chinese with bundles of dollars buying power.
If this ends with China going in and grabbing land in Siberia and then managing to turn Russia into a raw material colony, nothing is gained – then we will just go to war with them in 10-15 years when drone swarms darken the sky and robot dogs gallop towards us with some thermobaric robot ramp on their backs.
I don’t have much respect for the USA, Biden, Trump, but right here I can probably understand that they tried a “your enemy’s enemy” approach with Russia to avoid this.
But it becomes rather pointless when the other party goes, “I am my own worst enemy” instead, you can’t make anything sensible out of that.
Ukraine is doing better and has managed to get several -stans on its side, Caucasus is with us (yes, or with Ukraine) and now even Kazakhstan.
So Biden’s, Trump’s, and USA’s strategy was dead in the water – a torpedo without propulsion.
I experienced that in Angola after 2006 when we bought a truck and I was going to get rich with a transport company. My business plan was that employees would appreciate a steady job in a country with sky-high unemployment and maybe steal 30% of the goods, but since the price we could charge was divine, the profit margin would be divine. No taxes on small businesses.
The problem was that in practice, the employee assumed that we would fire him so he first stole all the goods and then the truck.
There I stood with two A4 pages of a business plan in hand and realized that I had greatly underestimated the country I was trying to do business in, just like Sullivan, Biden, and Trump discovered with Russia – there was nothing wrong with the plan but a Russian cannot restrain himself when he sees an opportunity to ruin something for himself and everyone else.
The first problem is that nowadays the paved road will end with Russia turning inwards and it will be full cowboy, early 90s all over again but worse.
It’s hard to escape the fact that the USA made a U-turn regarding Russia – Ukraine, and that can only mean that they will try to prevent China from benefiting from a Russian collapse because that’s the last thing they want.
And the only way to do that is to try to take down China.
I am one of those who believe that Trump’s trade tariffs were a poorly disguised attempt to start with that but they escaped with sheer terror when the USA almost crashed instead.
Now the USA/Trump is trying to get G7 on board with tough measures against China, and he is constantly pressuring the EU that we must take on China.
One reason Trump changed his stance regarding Ukraine was probably that as a quid pro quo we would start tightening the screws on China.
Another reason might be that Trump and Zelensky now know that global escalation is underway?
One observation worth making is that the almighty and perfect USA has just been forced to admit in action that they have messed up quite badly, we already said in 2022 where the risk was – maybe one can become a highly paid advisor in the USA?
We can probably get away with claiming that the economic war between the West and China is already in full swing.
The next step is acts of war where you start with proxies and edges before cutting to the core.
Venezuela, Iran, Israel, India – Pakistan, Nepal, Thailand – Cambodia, have I forgotten something?
Back to the Ukraine war – a genius in the johanno1.se comment section discussed how Russia has been able to shorten its “kill chain” to minutes while losing more officers and specialists than the rest of the world combined does during a world war.
Lex Oss Själva – we had our officers and SOF in Ukraine and controlled the war for quite a while before gradually handing over everything to the Ukrainians themselves.
It’s not unlikely that the Russians have made a reverse journey and that the fewer specialists and officers there are, the more Chinese help in the shadows.
Technology is not exactly the Russians’ strong suit and until the summer of 2024, they had their version of the digital battlefield but couldn’t use it, it simply didn’t work.
The chain is target selection, target information, action and it should happen within minutes.
In Kursk, we saw the first sign when a Ukrainian vehicle had some artillery craters behind it but they missed by a wide margin.
By summer 2025, it was drones, artillery, and FAB over you within minutes once you were detected.
China has repaired the links and maybe even mans the links?
“let them do it” someone shouts heroically.
Unfortunately, that also means that China now has the digital battlefield to themselves, they get to beta-test this in actual warfare.
Do we have it in Europe – no, not at this level and certainly not with a functioning drone weapon. These capabilities we have often relied on the USA to provide, lazy as we are.
Does the USA have it, better than us at least but not with the drone weapon. There one could argue that it’s sufficient but they are large expensive platforms and in Ukraine, the digital battlefield is built with many small cheap platforms.
Russia has tried big, few, and expensive and has already lost that equipment.
I think it can be firmly stated that China’s fingerprints are on much more than the West wants to admit and that means they deserve to be taken down.
The first day with locked posts was a bit chaotic – thanks to everyone for your patience and thanks to those who have joined as subscribers, and thanks to those who have been subscribers before.
We continue according to the usual routine with a couple of long posts per week where the first paragraphs are made available to everyone – that’s how we keep johanno1.se going, which has a comment section that is like balm for the soul except on Fridays when we indulge during work hours.
When I worked in the UK, we had Friday pub – that meant over lunch we went out and had 3-4 large beers at a nearby pub. Then we sat in the afternoon dead tired and stared at two screens but when the day was over, everyone had sobered up and could go home and have a cozy Friday evening with their families. I was young and unmarried at the time of course, but my colleagues were in all stages of life. I like the Brits – flexible and pragmatic.
I am working on the posts about U137, and you will like the remaining two.
I also have some historical deep dives in progress that I will try to make fun reading because you can learn a lot from history. It is not a natural law that we should do as Russia and China want.
I also intend to completely refrain from Swedish domestic politics, you have had to endure some such attempts before but I feel that it doesn’t lead to anything – it just raises blood pressure.
Something that completely stalled was stories from those in Ukraine, I got halfway with a platoon leader but he fell silent, don’t know if it was because he was on the front line in Pokrovsk or because I asked idiotic questions 😐
Lionesses
Today we are discussing China again but want to highlight that Ukraine is now quietly receiving a lot of heavy vehicles, both tanks, armored vehicles, and infantry fighting vehicles from the West.
We will return with a separate post, but how do you break through the numbing drone cover - through mobile mechanized warfare, of course.
It is my opinion that China was cautious about the Ukraine war for a long time, but on May 9, 2025, they chose to wholeheartedly support Russia and now in the summer of 2025, they also fired an economic torpedo at the USA in the form of a "swift-killer."
It started earlier than that, of course, but if Russia had gone and lost the war during, for example, the UA spring offensive in 2023, then China would probably have backed off.
China is not foolish and knows that the risk of expanded war exists, they also know that their production for Europe and the USA is in jeopardy, and that the West will first fire an economic weapon followed by interstate war.
They are also intimately familiar with Japan in the 90s.
Do not underestimate China will probably be the first words of wisdom for the day, I have been working with them since 2006 and seen them go from stiff party officials with translators, political commissars, and "stone and spade" technology on naval projects to now in 2025 winning the tender in the Caribbean both on price and technical solution against an American, French, and South American company (the latter was the favorite as they bribed heavily).
The political commissar was easy to find because he never said anything, everyone bowed to him, and when you entered his office, it was full of Muay Tai (rice wine) and Chinese candy everywhere because everyone showered him with gifts so they wouldn't get fired.
China is patient and works purposefully, so they have a solution for everything we can come up with until the USA goes into full war with them.
That doesn't mean they will win, Russia thought they would be having dinner in Kiev a week after the offensive started - they had booked all the tables at the restaurants and brought their dress uniforms.
"when the first shot is fired, the war takes on a life of its own" some tearful German general probably said at some point and waved his arms, but he was right anyway.
But by now, everyone probably understands that China will be a much tougher nut to crack than Russia, and that they also need to be dealt with - they are already a belligerent party in the Ukraine war.
We will develop the reasoning below, and now that Macron subscribes, the French headquarters finally have a sensible basis for making their decisions.
Nelson Mandela is also present, but mostly for the Friday binges at johanno1.se, he's a devil at chugging draft beer and rarely gets drunk.
The text continues below for subscribers.
Yesterday we posted that China has delivered advanced drone radar, we know that they have built the production lines for Gerandrones and have reason to guess that they provide AI front-line autonomous drones or so-called "loitering ammunition" at the fronts.
We also know that they have improved robot manufacturing, and here we can also suspect that tanks, armored vehicles, and armored personnel carriers are now being produced more efficiently and in significantly larger volumes thanks to China's healing hand.
It is also likely that they have assisted in ammunition production.
We must not forget that China is now providing target acquisition from satellites, which was also posted the other day.
We also read the other day that North Korea accounts for about 50% of the Russian ammunition now being used in the Ukraine war, and nothing is done without China's tacit approval when it comes to North Korea - they are a bit like our Skåne, a necessary evil.
But it's worse than that - China has itself sent 24,000 tons of war material directly to Russia by sea, air, or land.
We have also seen "battlefield lasers" being tested by a Russian unit, and we have previously speculated that high-value targets inside Russia will soon receive qualified LV protection if they haven't already.
Furthermore, China also buys Russian oil and LNG, so it is not wrong to say that without China, Russia would have already lost the war.
Where is the limit for Europe and the USA to say enough is enough?
Europe - probably never.
USA - they have already had enough.
We already know that China is involved in the shadows in the sabotage wave against Europe, 8 Chinese were arrested in Norway, and I bet a month's salary that the major shutdown of solar panels on the Iberian Peninsula had to do with China.
In the USA, before the border was closed, short-haired Chinese men were seen in groups of four entering the USA - we can assume they are sabotage groups.
Just as Russia buys land, houses, and churches near our protected sites, China does the same in the USA.
On D-Day, China and Russia will fire manpads from these properties at taking off aircraft or release drone clouds towards whatever they are living near.
Europe should make the connection that we are now preparing for war with Russia, but it is China that is preparing Russia for war with us.
If China were to fall, Russia would be like a dried oily cheese slice in a matter of months.
Conversely, if Russia falls, China will probably not dare to escalate globally further - I guess.
Russia can only do two things - increase pressure on Europe and old places, or implode and become ten new free and beautiful countries.
China has a colorful palette of solutions, and if we make a mistake, we will probably create a 1.5 billion monster.
First of all, China may try to take over Taiwan, and if they succeed, they will have taken the springboard for further expansion in Southeast Asia.
China can also let North Korea attack South Korea, but since North Korea is the weaker party, China and Russia will probably have to provide a lot of new capabilities. South Korea is currently preparing for war, just like we are in Europe.
If Taiwan falls, there will be 5 years of war in Southeast Asia before China gets tired.
They are otherwise landlocked, but when the opportunity arises, they will try to reclaim their areas in Russia that they lost in the 1800s.
That is a much bigger deal in China than we may have understood, posts about reclaiming areas get millions of shares - a very low-hanging fruit.
Already today, border areas are flooded with Chinese with bundles of dollars buying power.
If this ends with China going in and grabbing land in Siberia and then managing to turn Russia into a raw material colony, nothing is gained - then we will just go to war with them in 10-15 years when drone swarms darken the sky and robot dogs gallop towards us with some thermobaric robot ramp on their backs.
I don't have much respect for the USA, Biden, Trump, but right here I can probably understand that they tried a "your enemy's enemy" approach with Russia to avoid this.
But it becomes rather pointless when the other party goes, "I am my own worst enemy" instead, you can't make anything sensible out of that.
Ukraine is doing better and has managed to get several -stans on its side, Caucasus is with us (yes, or with Ukraine) and now even Kazakhstan.
So Biden's, Trump's, and USA's strategy was dead in the water - a torpedo without propulsion.
I experienced that in Angola after 2006 when we bought a truck and I was going to get rich with a transport company. My business plan was that employees would appreciate a steady job in a country with sky-high unemployment and maybe steal 30% of the goods, but since the price we could charge was divine, the profit margin would be divine. No taxes on small businesses.
The problem was that in practice, the employee assumed that we would fire him so he first stole all the goods and then the truck.
There I stood with two A4 pages of a business plan in hand and realized that I had greatly underestimated the country I was trying to do business in, just like Sullivan, Biden, and Trump discovered with Russia - there was nothing wrong with the plan but a Russian cannot restrain himself when he sees an opportunity to ruin something for himself and everyone else.
The first problem is that nowadays the paved road will end with Russia turning inwards and it will be full cowboy, early 90s all over again but worse.
It's hard to escape the fact that the USA made a U-turn regarding Russia - Ukraine, and that can only mean that they will try to prevent China from benefiting from a Russian collapse because that's the last thing they want.
And the only way to do that is to try to take down China.
I am one of those who believe that Trump's trade tariffs were a poorly disguised attempt to start with that but they escaped with sheer terror when the USA almost crashed instead.
Now the USA/Trump is trying to get G7 on board with tough measures against China, and he is constantly pressuring the EU that we must take on China.
One reason Trump changed his stance regarding Ukraine was probably that as a quid pro quo we would start tightening the screws on China.
Another reason might be that Trump and Zelensky now know that global escalation is underway?
One observation worth making is that the almighty and perfect USA has just been forced to admit in action that they have messed up quite badly, we already said in 2022 where the risk was - maybe one can become a highly paid advisor in the USA?
We can probably get away with claiming that the economic war between the West and China is already in full swing.
The next step is acts of war where you start with proxies and edges before cutting to the core.
Venezuela, Iran, Israel, India - Pakistan, Nepal, Thailand - Cambodia, have I forgotten something?
Back to the Ukraine war - a genius in the johanno1.se comment section discussed how Russia has been able to shorten its "kill chain" to minutes while losing more officers and specialists than the rest of the world combined does during a world war.
Lex Oss Själva - we had our officers and SOF in Ukraine and controlled the war for quite a while before gradually handing over everything to the Ukrainians themselves.
It's not unlikely that the Russians have made a reverse journey and that the fewer specialists and officers there are, the more Chinese help in the shadows.
Technology is not exactly the Russians' strong suit and until the summer of 2024, they had their version of the digital battlefield but couldn't use it, it simply didn't work.
The chain is target selection, target information, action and it should happen within minutes.
In Kursk, we saw the first sign when a Ukrainian vehicle had some artillery craters behind it but they missed by a wide margin.
By summer 2025, it was drones, artillery, and FAB over you within minutes once you were detected.
China has repaired the links and maybe even mans the links?
"let them do it" someone shouts heroically.
Unfortunately, that also means that China now has the digital battlefield to themselves, they get to beta-test this in actual warfare.
Do we have it in Europe - no, not at this level and certainly not with a functioning drone weapon. These capabilities we have often relied on the USA to provide, lazy as we are.
Does the USA have it, better than us at least but not with the drone weapon. There one could argue that it's sufficient but they are large expensive platforms and in Ukraine, the digital battlefield is built with many small cheap platforms.
Russia has tried big, few, and expensive and has already lost that equipment.
I think it can be firmly stated that China's fingerprints are on much more than the West wants to admit and that means they deserve to be taken down.
The first day with locked posts was a bit chaotic - thanks to everyone for your patience and thanks to those who have joined as subscribers, and thanks to those who have been subscribers before.
We continue according to the usual routine with a couple of long posts per week where the first paragraphs are made available to everyone - that's how we keep johanno1.se going, which has a comment section that is like balm for the soul except on Fridays when we indulge during work hours.
When I worked in the UK, we had Friday pub - that meant over lunch we went out and had 3-4 large beers at a nearby pub. Then we sat in the afternoon dead tired and stared at two screens but when the day was over, everyone had sobered up and could go home and have a cozy Friday evening with their families. I was young and unmarried at the time of course, but my colleagues were in all stages of life. I like the Brits - flexible and pragmatic.
I am working on the posts about U137, and you will like the remaining two.
I also have some historical deep dives in progress that I will try to make fun reading because you can learn a lot from history. It is not a natural law that we should do as Russia and China want.
I also intend to completely refrain from Swedish domestic politics, you have had to endure some such attempts before but I feel that it doesn't lead to anything - it just raises blood pressure.
Something that completely stalled was stories from those in Ukraine, I got halfway with a platoon leader but he fell silent, don't know if it was because he was on the front line in Pokrovsk or because I asked idiotic questions 😐
